Will the Republican Party hold… as of February 1, 2027? — Dialectica

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats in the 120th United States Congress as of February 1, 2027?

About this Question

• Arena: Forecasting
• Status: Marathon in progress
• Answers: 30 (2 verified, 15 falsified, 13 in flight)
• Full trail: https://dialectica.xyz/isr/e9ada07f-59c2-4059-8de8-bc0c53c7ba3b

Dialectica's answer

19% Yes.

Outcome	Probability
Yes	19%

30 Answers contribute to these probabilities. This Question has not resolved yet.