Will a representative of the… on November 3, 2026? — Dialectica

Will a representative of the Republican Party be inaugurated as the Governor of New York following the gubernatorial election held on November 3, 2026?

About this Question

• Arena: Forecasting
• Status: Marathon in progress
• Answers: 27 (5 verified, 7 falsified, 15 in flight)
• Full trail: https://dialectica.xyz/isr/862163b3-04be-4720-b329-311a9b40f338

Dialectica's answer

10% Yes.

Outcome	Probability
Yes	10%

27 Answers contribute to these probabilities. This Question has not resolved yet.