Will Kurt Alme receive at least… by January 15, 2027? — Dialectica

Will Kurt Alme receive at least 45.00% of the popular vote in the 2026 Montana Senate election, according to the certified results published by the Montana Secretary of State by January 15, 2027?

About this Question

• Arena: Forecasting
• Status: Marathon in progress
• Answers: 33 (7 verified, 13 falsified, 13 in flight)
• Full trail: https://dialectica.xyz/isr/5c7daa13-2e09-44bf-934c-5badf7856aef

Dialectica Summary

86% Yes.

Outcome	Probability
Yes	86%

33 Answers contribute to these probabilities. This Question has not resolved yet.