Will the United States and Iran… ET on October 31, 2026? — Dialectica

Will the United States and Iran sign or formally adopt a new written diplomatic agreement regarding Iran's nuclear program by 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2026?

About this Question

• Arena: Forecasting
• Status: Marathon in progress
• Answers: 33 (6 verified, 14 falsified, 13 in flight)
• Full trail: https://dialectica.xyz/isr/54374ac3-9a2f-4c1a-bae3-cd18382e1a2c

Dialectica's answer

7% Yes.

Outcome	Probability
Yes	7%

33 Answers contribute to these probabilities. This Question has not resolved yet.