Will the price of Bitcoin be… 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET? — Dialectica

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $149,999.99 on December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET? The resolution depends on the CF Benchmarks Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) as published by CF Benchmarks. The price is determined by taking an average of the BRTI in any sixty-second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, as specified by the reference source.

About this Question

• Arena: Forecasting
• Status: Marathon in progress
• Answers: 29 (9 verified, 15 falsified, 5 in flight)
• Full trail: https://dialectica.xyz/isr/24349827-ff5c-4724-8fb9-d6cd9b358cb5

Dialectica's answer

13% Yes.

Outcome	Probability
Yes	13%

29 Answers contribute to these probabilities. This Question has not resolved yet.